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- Crypto Saving Expert Newsletter - Issue 143
Crypto Saving Expert Newsletter - Issue 143
Good afternoon! Bitcoin has corrected slightly but remains just over 10% away from its all-time high, suggesting that bullish conditions may be back.
Let’s take a deep dive into bitcoin, macro markets, and key levels to watch this week. 👇
This week's issue will feature technical analysis of bitcoin, Stonksy, Ethereum and the S&P500 as well as important dates and key news stories.
Table of Contents
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Bitcoin Back On The Bull?
Bitcoin
Bitcoin came into its biggest obstacle on the road to $100,000 and potentially a new all-time high.
The $97,000 - $99,000 region is huge for the price as it acts as supply where sellers will look to slow the price down and buying pressure is counteracted.
For now, bitcoin is holding the yearly open, but should it drop further, a sweep of (1,661 would provide a full liquidity run. Below there, and a retest of $88,000 may occur.
Stonksy
Stonksy perfectly caught the pump-up last week, which can be seen with the green background.
As momentum began to stall, Stonksy switched into the red, capturing the downside move also.
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Ethereum
Ethereum has clear support and resistance in what has become a trading range for the price.
Above, macro S/R separates ETH from being in a bull or bear trend. Below support, key S/R for the price resides between $1,650-$1,675.
Ethereum has yet to fully get going in the market, with it still to develop its own momentum.
S&P 500
The S&P 500 index came into supply alongside bitcoin.
The price tagged $5,700 perfectly before retracing, with up to $5,785 as a wall separating more upside from a stall in momentum.
From here, the index must gain acceptance above the zone, or it may fall to the downside, looking to put in another higher low somewhere.
Fear & Greed Index
The Fear and Greed Index remains within Greed, scoring 59.
Following bitcoin’s surge over the last two weeks, investors are in good spirits, despite the slight fall from $97,000 in recent days.
If bitcoin remains above $90,000, then the sentiment likely stays positive, which could be boosted more with a rally towards $100,000.
Important Dates
Wednesday 7 May, 19:00 UTC - Fed Interest Rate Decision
The Federal Open Markets Committee meeting occurs eight times a year. The Fed meets to discuss recent economic data and the strength of the US economy before deciding whether it should increase, decrease, or leave rates unchanged.
The Federal Reserve is composed of a Board of Governors that assists its Chair, Jerome Powell, in making interest rate decisions and steering the US economy.
At 19:00 UTC, the Fed will announce its interest rate decision. Afterwards, a press conference will begin at 19:30, where Powell will conduct a 30-minute speech before taking questions from the press.
Gainers
Losers
Token Graveyard: 1 in 4 Crypto Tokens Have Died in 2025 So Far
Over 1.8m crypto tokens have already failed in 2025, with tools like Pump.fun fueling memecoin surges — and collapses. CoinGecko says nearly 1 in 4 tokens are dead this year alone.
🪦 1.8m tokens launched since 2021 failed in Q1 2025 alone, nearly half of all token failures.
📉 The surge in token deaths follows January’s market volatility and Trump’s post-inauguration tariff threats.
🧪 Token creation tools like Pump.fun have made launching crypto tokens easier, but survival much harder.
📊 Over seven million tokens have been listed on CoinGecko’s GeckoTerminal since 2021, with a 53% failure rate.
🐸 Pump.fun memecoins see a 98% failure rate, despite a high number of daily launches.
🧼 Crypto Market Cleans House: Token Failures Surge in 2025
The cryptocurrency market is facing a wave of token failures, and the first quarter of 2025 has already made history.
According to a 30 April report by CoinGecko, 1.8 million crypto tokens failed in Q1, accounting for one in four tokens launched since 2021. The surge marks the highest quarterly token death count ever recorded.
“Alarmingly, the first quarter of 2025 alone saw the collapse of 1.8 million tokens,” said CoinGecko analyst Shaun Paul Lee. “It comprises just under half of all failures and represents a quarter of all tokens launched since 2021.”
🧬 Pump.fun Changed Everything — For Better or Worse
The rise in token creation tools like Pump.fun, which allows users to easily launch new tokens on Solana, has directly contributed to the massive increase in launches and failures.
📊 In 2024 alone, over three million tokens were launched, the most in a single year.
🤔By contrast, 2023 saw just 835,000, and 2021–2023 combined only accounted for 12.6% of all failures since 2021.
Pump.fun’s graduation rate — the percentage of tokens that move off the bonding curve to trade on public markets — remains extremely low. Only 1.67% of tokens “graduated” in the platform’s best-ever week (November 2024). The average failure rate hovers around 98%.
“The flood of memecoins and low-effort projects entering the market is unprecedented,” Lee noted.
⚠️ Market Turbulence, Tariff Tensions and Token Turmoil
The uptick in failed tokens has come alongside broader market volatility, including Donald Trump’s presidential inauguration in January, temporarily sending bitcoin to all-time highs before the crypto market corrected sharply.
As tariff fears spread and investor sentiment cooled, tokens - especially memecoins — bore the brunt. Interest in speculative coins like TRUMP and LIBRA spiked in early Q1 but has since waned sharply, according to CoinGecko founder Bobby Ong.
📉 Will Token Quality Improve?
With token creation now easier than ever, and little barrier to launching speculative coins, many are calling for more community standards, liquidity filters, or social risk labels to help guide new investors in the increasingly chaotic token landscape.
Still, innovation hasn’t slowed. Tens of thousands of new tokens are created each week, especially within the Solana ecosystem, making due diligence more critical than ever for anyone diving into the trenches.
CZ Defends Free Speech with X Investment: “No Freedom Works Without It”
CZ says free speech is the foundation of all freedoms, explaining why Binance backed Elon Musk’s $500m X investment. At Token2049, he called out bots, praised the UAE, and criticised EU crypto policy.
📢 Former Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao says his investment in X (formerly Twitter) was driven by a belief in protecting freedom of speech.
💬 At Token2049 in Dubai, CZ said free speech is essential to achieving financial freedom and other civil liberties.
🌍 He criticised Europe’s crypto policies as “dead,” praising pro-business hubs like the UAE.
💸 Binance invested $500m into Elon Musk’s acquisition of X in 2022 to support decentralisation and Web3 integration.
🤖 CZ still sees major problems with bots and scams on the platform, calling for continued reform.
🔐 "No Freedom Works Without Free Speech," CZ Says in Dubai
Speaking at Token2049 in Dubai, Binance co-founder Changpeng “CZ” Zhao offered a rare public perspective on his investment in Elon Musk’s X (formerly Twitter) — and what it means for global freedoms.
“Freedom of speech is kind of the bottom line. If you don’t have that, no other freedom works,” CZ told a live audience, joined by macro analyst Raoul Pal.
He explained that the 2022 $500m investment by Binance into Musk’s Twitter acquisition was based on this principle. While Binance is known for championing "freedom of money," CZ said the ability to speak freely is the foundation upon which financial freedom is built.
💬 X, Free Speech & Web3 Integration
Binance was one of 19 co-investors backing Elon Musk’s $44bn takeover of Twitter in October 2022. CZ emphasised that the goal was not only financial returns but also helping the platform evolve toward Web3 integration and decentralized features like crypto payments.
“The platform has huge value in itself,” Zhao said at the time of the investment.
However, Zhao acknowledged ongoing issues, including:
🧟♂️ Bot activity
🎣 Scam tokens
🛠️ Monetisation and development challenges
He called on Musk to ramp up efforts to eliminate bots, particularly those targeting crypto users.
🏛️ CZ Slams EU Crypto Regulation, Praises UAE
In the same session, CZ criticised Europe’s approach to crypto, calling it overly bureaucratic and stifling innovation.
“Europe is kind of dead [for crypto],” he said, contrasting it with the UAE, which he praised for its pro-business stance and openness to digital finance.
Zhao’s comments come as global crypto firms increasingly migrate or expand operations in regions like Dubai and Hong Kong, where regulation is more balanced and forward-looking.
🚀 What’s Next for CZ and X?
Though CZ stepped down as Binance CEO in 2023, he remains a powerful voice in crypto and continues to invest in education and infrastructure through ventures like Giggle Academy, a free educational platform.
His vision for X includes deeper Web3 integration, crypto-based monetisation, and restoring trust in online platforms through decentralisation.
Will Staking Save Ethereum ETFs? Analysts Say It’s Not Enough
Ethereum ETFs may soon allow staking, but Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas warns it won’t boost inflows unless ETH sees a sustained price rally. Here's why performance still matters most.
🔐 Approving staking for spot Ethereum ETFs might only have a small impact on investor inflows.
📉 ETH price performance remains the most significant barrier to ETF success, says Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas.
📊 Spot ETH ETFs saw strong inflows during December’s rally but have slumped since.
🗓️ SEC approval for staking could come by October, with earlier decisions possible in May or August.
📉 ETH is currently down 56% from its December high of $4,107.
🪙 Ether ETF Inflows Still Lagging Behind
Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas says allowing staking in US spot Ethereum ETFs is unlikely to create a significant surge in investor inflows, at least not without a more sustained ETH price rally.
“It’s only going to help — it can’t hurt,” Balchunas said on the New Era Finance podcast on 29 April, but added: “The bigger problem with Ethereum is performance; it just doesn’t ever go on a nice long rally.”
While some investors are hopeful that staking could make ETH ETFs more attractive, Balchunas believes inflows are primarily driven by price momentum, not utility.
🔺 Rally = Inflows
The data backs it up: When Ether rallied following Donald Trump’s election win in November, ETH surged 71%, peaking at $4,107 on 16 December. During this rally, spot ETH ETFs saw 19 consecutive days of inflows, pulling in $2.44bn, according to Farside data.
But since then? It’s been a slow bleed. ETH has dropped 56% from its December high and is now trading around $1,809.
“It needs something that is more than just a good week here and there,” Balchunas said.
That lack of consistency has made Ethereum ETFs far less compelling than their Bitcoin counterparts, which saw record highs within two months of launching in January 2024.
🕒 When Could ETH ETF Staking Be Approved?
US ETF issuers are still awaiting a final decision from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on whether staking will be allowed for spot ETH funds.
Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart said:
“It’s possible they could be approved for staking early, but the final deadline is at the end of October.”
According to asset managers' filings, intermediate decisions may come as early as late May or late August.
🧾 What’s the Real Hold-Up?
Despite hopes that staking yields could provide passive returns for ETF investors and attract more interest, the core issue remains: price action.
Balchunas made it clear that successful ETFs launch best during bullish market conditions, and Ether’s post-launch downturn has made it harder for the funds to regain momentum.
“When you launch an ETF and you have that sort of performance out of the gate, it’s tough,” he concluded.
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