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- Crypto Saving Expert Newsletter - Issue 158
Crypto Saving Expert Newsletter - Issue 158
Good morning! Bitcoin has slammed under $110K, shaking the market and putting $108K–$109K to the test, a must-hold zone. ETH has also pulled back ~10% from its highs but is sitting at key S/R levels, while ETH/BTC is pressing major resistance. With fear back in the air and dominance charts at tipping points, the next move could set the tone for the weeks ahead. Let’s dive into the levels and catalysts 👇
Table of Contents
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Bitcoin Braces For Impact
Bitcoin has raised fears in the market as it slipped below $110,000 this week, shaking the market.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin has dropped to its lowest point since early July as its bearish momentum continues to unravel the price.
Bitcoin has reached a must-hold zone in and around $108,000-$109,000. This is where the 2024 high is located and also a structurally significant point of interest from where the breakout originated.
A reclaim of $112,000 would be massively bullish, while a drop lower cannot be ruled out.
Ethereum
Ethereum has also suffered due to bitcoin’s downturn. The price has dropped roughly 10% from its all-time high recorded just two days ago.
However, ETH has also approached a key point, to where it finds S/R, which could see the bleeding stop.
Again, a drop lower cannot be ruled out, but a U-turn could see the price retest resistance and potentially enter price discovery.
ETH/BTC
ETH/BTC has been rocketing on the back of Ethereum’s momentum.
It has reached key horizontal and diagonal points. It is currently testing weekly resistance while also pressing the high-time frame downtrend.
A pullback could see a minor dip before a full leg higher, but continued strength could see it head towards 0.055.
USDT Dominance
USDT dominance outlines all the market rallies that have occurred in recent years.
Currently, it is wedged between resistance and support, which identify where rallies begin and end.
This figure must break lower through support to suggest another leg higher for bitcoin, altcoins, or both is underway.
Looking at the chart, a drop down towards 2.7% could mark max euphoria and the cycle top, should it go that far.
Fear & Greed Index
The Fear and Greed Index has dropped into Neutral following bitcoin’s drop to new local lows. Despite the excitement on Friday following Jerome Powell’s comments, bitcoin has yet to shake off the bearish momentum witnessed since it tagged $124,000.
The index resides at 48, but could dramatically shift based on bitcoin’s next move.
Gainers
Losers
Kanye West’s YZY Token Hits $3bn in Minutes — But Insider Concerns Shake Confidence
Kanye West’s new Solana-based YZY token hit a $3bn valuation within 40 minutes, but allegations of insider sales and liquidity risks quickly wiped out much of the gains.
TL;DR
🚀Fast launch: Kanye West’s YZY token surged to a $3bn market cap in just 40 minutes.
📉Sharp drop: Market cap fell to $1.05bn amid insider trading concerns.
👀On-chain red flags: 94% of supply controlled by insiders; one wallet held 87% before distribution.
🐳Whales buying anyway: Big-name traders, including Arthur Hayes, jumped in despite risks.
🎭Celebrity token trend: Similar memecoin launches by Trump, McGregor, and Milei faced controversy.
Kanye Launches YZY on Solana
Rapper Kanye West (Ye) officially launched the YZY token Thursday, describing it as the foundation of a new crypto-powered economy called “Yeezy Money.”
📈 Token peaked at $3bn market cap within 40 minutes.
📉 Retraced to $1.05bn at the time of writing (Nansen data).
💀 Fine print warns of complete loss risks and restrictions for certain jurisdictions.
Insider Trading Allegations
On-chain data quickly revealed potential manipulation:
⚠️ 94% of supply held by insiders.
😰 One multisig wallet controlled 87%before dispersing to others.
🤔 Liquidity pool only seeded with YZY, allowing developers to potentially pull liquidity at will.
Lookonchain flagged:
😱 A user lost $710k by buying the wrong contract but later recovered.
⚡️ Another trader paid $24k in Solana priority fees to secure a $3.4M profit.
🤑 Early buyers reportedly sat on $6m gains at peak valuation.
Crypto Whales Still Jump In
Despite the red flags, traders piled in:
📊 James Wynn, a leverage trader, said whales would chase the token due to liquidity.
💰Wynn expects a 2x–4x return, citing Trump’s memecoin run from $4bn to $15bn.
💥Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, also appeared to buy YZY.
Celebrity Token Hype: Risk vs. Reward
The YZY launch adds to a wave of celebrity-backed memecoins:
🇦🇷 Argentina’s President Javier Milei briefly promoted the LIBRA token to $4bn before deleting his post.
🥊 Conor McGregor launched his own token earlier this year.
🇺🇸 US President Donald Trump launched his TRUMP memecoin ahead of the inauguration, which surged rapidly.
These projects have often seen meteoric gains followed by steep crashes, leaving retail buyers exposed.
What’s Next for YZY?
Kanye’s YZY experiment is testing whether a celebrity-driven memecoin can transition into a real ecosystem (“Yeezy Money”) — or if it will follow the boom-and-bust path of other high-profile launches.
For now, insiders hold most of the supply, leaving retail traders vulnerable if liquidity dries up.
Glassnode: Bitcoin Still Following Four-Year Halving Cycle Despite ETF Fatigue
Glassnode says Bitcoin’s price still mirrors its historic halving cycle, with signs of profit-taking and ETF outflows suggesting the market may already be late in its cycle.
TL;DR
🔄 Glassnode: BTC still tracks its four-year halving cycle.
🧾 Long-term holders are taking profits at levels similar to past euphoric phases.
📉 Spot BTC ETFs see $975m in outflows over four days.
⏳ If the cycle repeats,a peak could arrive in October 2025.
🏦 Some analysts argue institutions may break the cycle.
Cycle Echoes of the Past
On-chain analytics firm Glassnode believes Bitcoin’s price action continues to rhyme with its historic four-year halving cycle, despite growing institutional interest.
The firm noted that long-term holders (LTHs) — those holding BTC for 155+ days — are now realising profits at levels comparable to past euphoric phases, often a sign of a late-cycle market.
BTC has fallen 8.3% since its $124,128 ATH (Aug. 14) and now trades around $113,940, according to CoinMarketCap.
ETF Outflows, Weakening Demand
Glassnode flagged signs of fatigue in demand:
📈 Spot BTC ETFs have recorded $975m in outflows across four sessions (Farside Investors).
🐌 Capital inflows are slowing, pushing traders toward higher-risk altcoin bets.
⚡️ Open interest in major altcoins briefly hit $60bn, before correcting with a $2.5bn pullback.
This signals cooling momentum as speculative money rotates away from BTC.
Timing the Cycle Peak
If history rhymes:
📆 Glassnode estimates cycle highs could arrive as soon as October 2025.
🧑💻 In the 2018 and 2022 cycles, BTC peaked 2–3 months after current positioning(measured from cycle lows).
👀 Crypto analyst Rekt Capital also forecast a likely peak 550 days post-halving (April 2024) — placing the top in October 2025.
Dissenting Views: Is the Cycle Broken?
Some industry figures reject the idea that Bitcoin remains in a fixed four-year rhythm:
📊 Jason Williams argued that with 1m BTC held by top 100 treasury firms, institutional flows may redefine cycle dynamics.
💼 Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan declared the “Bitcoin cycle is dead”, projecting an “up year” in 2026 instead.
🧑💼 Hougan believes the halving effect weakens each cycle, while macro interest rate trends are becoming more important.
Takeaway
The market sits at a crossroads:
📊 Glassnode’s data points to a late-cycle setup, with October in play for the peak.
👩💻Institutional adoption, however, could stretch or reshape the traditional halving pattern.
Either way, BTC’s next big move may prove whether the cycle playbook still rules — or whether the era of institution-driven dynamics has begun.
Borgy - The Swissborg Led St. Bernard Memecoin
Dive into the heartwarming legend of Borgy, the St. Bernard meme coin with Swiss roots and a mission that goes beyond jokes.
In a crypto world full of quirky mascots, Borgy ($BORGY) stands out as a true legend. Born from SwissBorg's community and Solana’s vibrant ecosystem, this playful memecoin brings education, humour, and heart to the DeFi world. With a lore-worthy origin, creative partnerships, and a community-powered roadmap, Borgy is fun, but also serious about becoming a tier one memecoin.
The Legendary Origin: A Blizzard, a Dog, and a Manifesto
The concept of Borgy was born from a stormy night in the Swiss Alps. Swissborg CEO, Cyrus Fazel, was left stranded and freezing on the mountainside. Through the snow emerged Borgy, the bounding St. Bernard. With a barrel of hot tea and the SwissBorg manifesto, he rescued Cyrus while breathing life into a new idea. Inspired by that brave rescue, SwissBorg’s community later immortalised Borgy as their mascot and lit the flame for this emerging memecoin.
Borgy’s Mission: Guide, Educate & Entertain
Borgy isn’t just wagging his tail—he’s here to guide. With his values of loyalty, strength, and faith, he guides community members away from rash decisions and toward more informed trading, all while spreading kindness and positivity through cartoons, videos, and educational content.
Meet the “Books of Borgy” Team
Behind the scenes, the Borgy project is propelled by a top-tier cast, including:
👉 Yabosa – French SwissBorg Community Manager
👉 Black Shark – Strategist, crypto and poker maestro
👉 Gab – Self-taught Web3 project manager
👉 ElGringo – Positive-thinking CFO & crypto lover
👉 Mamko – Crypto evangelist, "fueled by code, crypto, love and kebab"
👉 Jo Borg – Community manager, “here to serve the community”
👉 Claudio – Defender of the SwissBorg Empire, crypto enthusiast since 2017
👉 Shaliste – Born a Borger; gem hunter and poker dabber extraordinaire
Roadmap & Vision: A Future Shaped by the Community
Borgy’s path forward is community-driven and full of possibilities:
🗳️ Vote on development direction
🕹️ Focus on merchandise, NFTs, games, and other community-fueled initiatives
🔥 Revenues are reinvested into the ecosystem through token burn, staking perks, and more benefits for $BORGY holders
Tokenomics: Fun Meets Smart Supply Design
There are 77,777,777,777 $BORGY tokens. This cap reflects the team’s commitment to balance and sustainability while embracing the playful roots of the token.
Partnerships & Community Support
Borgy has seen some standout alliances:
🤝 TADA – AI Partner
🤝 Solana ID – Community Partner
🤝 AGORA (AGA) – Community Partner
Plus, the project’s treasury supports other tokens like $BORG, $XBG, $SOLID, and $NOMU—underscoring a spirit of collaboration across multiple projects.
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