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- Crypto Saving Expert Newsletter - Issue 159
Crypto Saving Expert Newsletter - Issue 159
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Good afternoon! Markets are heating up again as Bitcoin eyes a big breakout, altcoins are showing strength, and sentiment hangs in the balance. With key catalysts on the horizon, the stage is set for an exciting week ahead 👇
Table of Contents
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Bitcoin Boom Coming?!
Bitcoin is on the cusp of reclaiming a key region, which could open the door for an upside rally and potentially all-time highs in the coming months.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin is on the cusp of reclaiming a massive S/R region at $113,000. This is key as it will open the door to higher prices if resistance is broken and flipped to support.
After forming critical support at $108,000, the price appears to be ready to test sellers’ resolve and make a break for higher.
Ethereum
Ethereum has been compressing as it found strong support just below $4,300.
ETH has formed a trading range up to the $4,500 resistance region, which could be seen as the next target.
However, if bitcoin garners momentum, ETH has the potential to break upwards, with $4,650 as the next logical target before all-time highs.
Hyperliquid
Hyperliquid is stealing the show this week as it broke into price discovery and is making new highs.
The price broke resistance to make a break for fresh all-time highs, but could also be finalising an ascending triangle pattern.
As seen in the image, measuring the move could take HYPE towards $62, but the momentum could also see it continue.
Solana
Solana on the weekly is looking more and more bullish.
The price continues to grind higher and is approaching weekly resistance around $252.
There remains much work for Solana, as there will be points of resistance on the daily or lower time frames, but if momentum continues, a charge to test the larger upper wick may come sooner rather than later.
Fear & Greed Index
The Fear and Greed Index remains within the neutral category and at 48 while bitcoin prepares for a potential move higher, which could see it return to Greed.
The Index is likely hypersensitive from here, with a drop or rally affecting the sentiment dramatically.
Important Dates
Wednesday 10 September, 12:30 UTC - Producer Price Index (PPI)
The Bureau of Labour Statistics is also responsible for PPI, which measures the average change in commodity prices. Similar to core inflation, PPI removes volatile goods from its findings. The forecast is set at 3.5%, with the previous data at 3.7%.
Thursday 11 September, 12:30 UTC - US Consumer Price Index (CPI)
CPI measures inflation and is a vital economic measurement in all countries. The data is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and calculated using a shopping basket of goods and services.
The data is forecast at 2.9%, with the previous data lower at 2.7%.
Friday 12 September, 14:00 UTC - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
The University of Michigan releases the index, which is a survey depicting consumer confidence in the economy. The survey provides insight into consumers’ confidence to spend money within the US economy.
The Index’s score is set to come in at 58, with the previous data coming in at 58.2.
Gainers
Losers
SwissBorg-Kiln Incident Drains $41m in Solana via API Exploit
SwissBorg lost $41m in SOL after hackers exploited Kiln’s API. Only 1% of users were affected, and SwissBorg pledged full reimbursement while working with investigators.
TLDR:
🚨 Hackers exploited Kiln’s API, draining 193,000 SOL (~$41m) from SwissBorg’s Earn program.
📱 SwissBorg app and other Earn products were not affected.
🧑💼 CEO Cyrus Fazel: only 1% of users / 2% of assets impacted; company remains financially strong.
💰 SwissBorg pledged to reimburse all affected users and is cooperating with investigators.
🛡️ Stolen funds traced to a wallet now labelled “SwissBorg Exploiter” on Solscan.
🚨 How the Hack Happened
SwissBorg confirmed on Monday that attackers exploited a vulnerability in Kiln’s API, which connects SwissBorg’s app to Solana’s staking network.
By compromising this bridge, hackers manipulated staking requests and siphoned off 193,000 SOL tokens, worth about $41M at the time.
The attack only targeted SwissBorg’s Solana Earn program. BTC and ETH Earn products, as well as the core SwissBorg app, were unaffected.
🧑💼 CEO: “A Bad Day, But Not Fatal”
SwissBorg CEO Cyrus Fazel addressed the breach in an X Space, stressing that the scope was limited:
🔹Affected users: ~1% of SwissBorg’s customer base.
🔹Assets impacted: ~2% of total platform holdings.
“It’s a big amount of money, but it doesn’t put SwissBorg at risk,” Fazel said.
He added that the firm has sufficient treasury reserves to fully reimburse affected users and pledged to do so.
🛡️ Response and Next Steps
SwissBorg is working with:
🏛️ International agencies
💱 Crypto exchanges
👨💻 White hat hackers
Some of the stolen transactions have already been blocked. Blockchain trackers flagged the exploiter’s Solana address as “SwissBorg Exploiter” on Solscan, warning users to avoid interacting with it.
📊 What Was at Stake
SwissBorg’s Solana Earn program lets retail investors stake SOL without running validators, relying on Kiln’s infrastructure.
The breach highlights API vulnerabilities as a major risk vector for staking-as-a-service providers, even when core apps remain unaffected.
⚖️ Bigger Picture
While SwissBorg is financially able to recover, the $41m theft underscores ongoing risks in third-party integrations powering yield products.
Calling it a “bad day for SwissBorg”, Fazel said the incident will serve as a learning experience for both the company and the broader crypto staking industry.
Trading by Moonlight: Can Astrology Help You Trade Crypto?
Can moon phases and astrology improve crypto trading? Some traders use lunar cycles and planetary transits as timing overlays. Here’s how to apply them—carefully—with real risk management.
TLDR:
🌑➡️🌕 Moon phases (new/full) are used by some traders to time entries/exits, assuming lunar cycles sway sentiment.
📉 Studies have found slightly lower returns around full moons (≈3–5%), but results are inconclusive.
🔭 Financial astrologers track planetary transits (not just the Moon) to frame timing windows.
🧠 Even if unscientific, astrology can work as a psychological framework for discipline and risk timing.
🧪 Sceptics say it’s pseudoscience prone to confirmation bias—use, if at all, alongside real risk management.
🌙 Moon Phases 101: Folklore or Edge?
Some crypto traders follow a simple heuristic: buy near new moons, trim near full moons. The idea is that lunar cycles map to shifts in crowd emotion, which can affect risk appetite in volatile 24/7 markets like crypto.
Academic work has observed modest return dips around full moons across global markets, but results vary and causality is unproven. Treat the moon as a timing overlay, not a signal you’d follow blindly.
🔭 Beyond the Moon: Planets, Transits, and “Bitcoin Birth Charts”
Financial astrologers expand the toolkit: planetary transits, ingresses, and aspects are mapped onto Bitcoin or ETH price histories to hypothesise windows of volatility.
You’ll see calls like“waning Moon periods favour trend continuation”or“Mars transits correlate with sharp moves.”Even fans acknowledge this is pattern study, not physics, best used as scenario planning, never as sole justification.
🧠 Why Some Traders Still Use It
- 🗓️Structure & routine: Moon/planet dates force traders to pre-plan entries, exits, and invalidation.
- 😌Emotion control: A ritualised calendar can reduce impulsive trades during chop.
- 🧰Confluence tool: Some combine it with TA, on-chain, and funding/ETF flow data—treating astrology as a soft timing nudge only.
🚩 Risks, Biases, and Guardrails
- 🪄No mechanism: There’s no scientific link between planets and prices, expect false positives.
- 🎯Confirmation bias: Wins stick, misses fade. Keep a journal; track both.
- 🧯Risk first: Use position sizing, hard stops, and define max drawdown rules. Astrology should never override risk management.
🛠️ A Practical “Moon Method” (If You Must)
1) Calendar it: Mark new/full moons + notable transits for the month.
2) Build confluence: Only act if lunar timing aligns with TA levels, derivatives signals, or flow data.
3) Plan the trade: Entry, TP ladder, invalidation before you click.
4) Risk small: Treat as an experiment; size like a pilot position.
5) Review: Log outcome vs setup; adjust or discard if edge ≈ 0.
🧾 Bottom Line
Astrology can be a discipline tool, a way to add rhythm to planning, not a substitute for data-driven analysis. If you use moon theory at all, make it a minor timing overlay on top of solid TA, on-chain, macro, and flow, and let risk rules run the show. 🌑📉➡️📈
Who Owns the Most Ether in 2025? From Smart Contracts to Institutions
Over 60% of Ether is held by just 10 addresses — but most belong to staking contracts, exchanges and institutions. Here’s who dominates Ethereum’s rich list in 2025.
TLDR:
🧑💻 61% of ETH is controlled by just 10 addresses, mostly smart contracts, exchanges & funds.
💸 The Beacon Deposit Contract alone holds 68m ETH (56% of supply).
💰 Major exchanges like Coinbase, Binance & Bitfinex each hold millions of ETH.
📈 Institutional funds (BlackRock ETHA, Grayscale ETHE, Fidelity FETH) now own 5m+ ETH.
⚡️ Corporations like BitMine & SharpLink treat ETH as a treasury asset.
🤔 Individuals like Vitalik Buterin, Joseph Lubin & Winklevoss twins still feature on the ETH rich list.
Ethereum’s Supply Concentration
As of Aug. 2025, Ethereum’s circulating supply stands at 120.71m ETH. Data shows the top 10 addresses control 71.8m ETH (~61%).
Unlike Bitcoin’s dormant whales, most ETH sits in active infrastructure, staking contracts, bridges, exchanges and ETF trusts. This reflects Ethereum’s role in powering staking, DeFi and institutional operations.
The Biggest Holder: Beacon Deposit Contract
The Beacon Deposit Contract holds 68m ETH (~56% of supply).
Validators must stake at least 32 ETH here to secure the network. Even with withdrawals enabled, liquidity is restricted by protocol exit rules, making the Beacon contract the single largest ETH holder.
Exchanges and Custodians
Top exchange & custodian ETH balances (Aug. 22, 2025):
👉Coinbase: 4.93m ETH (4.1%)
👉Binance: 4.23m ETH (3.5%)
👉Bitfinex: 3.28m ETH (2.7%)
👉Base Bridge: 1.71m ETH (1.4%)
👉Robinhood: 1.66m ETH (1.37%)
👉Upbit: 1.36m ETH (1.13%)
These wallets power liquidity, staking derivatives (cbETH) and cross-chain activity.
Institutions Enter the ETH Rich List
Institutional adoption accelerated in 2025:
👉BlackRock ETHA Trust: 3m+ ETH (2.5% of supply)
👉Grayscale ETHE: 1.13m ETH
👉Fidelity FETH: inflows $1.4bn since 2024
👉Bitwise ETH funds: expanding with staking features
Together, institutions now control 5m ETH (4.4%), cementing Ether as a serious treasury asset.
Corporate Treasuries Stack ETH
Companies are following the “Strategy playbook” — but with staking:
👉BitMine Immersion Technologies: 1.8m ETH ($7.8bn)
👉SharpLink Gaming: 797.7k ETH ($3.5bn)
👉Bit Digital: 120.3k ETH
👉BTCS: 70k ETH ($307m)
Most corporate ETH is actively staked, earning 3–5% APY.
Individual ETH Billionaires
While institutions dominate, a few individuals still rank:
👉Vitalik Buterin: 250k–280k ETH (~$950m)
👉Joseph Lubin: ~500k ETH (~$1.2bn, est.)
👉Winklevoss twins: 150k–200k ETH
👉Anthony Di Iorio: 50k–100k ETH
👉Rain Lõhmus: 250k ETH from ICO, but lost access
Tracking Ethereum’s Rich List
Tools like Nansen’s Token God Mode, Dune Analytics and Etherscan map ETH ownership, clustering wallets into funds, exchanges, smart contracts & individuals.
While transparency is improving, limits remain: cold wallets, reused deposit addresses, and privacy techniques obscure full ownership details.
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