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- Crypto Saving Expert Newsletter - Issue 187
Crypto Saving Expert Newsletter - Issue 187
GM.
Bitcoin didn’t fake it.
After the breakout last week, the price is holding and starting to build.
$74K remains the line in the sand.
As long as that holds, this isn’t just another bounce.
But here’s where it gets interesting…
After months of sideways and failed moves, Bitcoin is finally showing real strength, while sentiment is still lagging behind.
And that’s usually where the bigger moves begin.
We’ve waited nearly 9 months for a proper run.
So the question is simple:
Is this where Bitcoin finally accelerates
and takes attention back from everything else?
Let’s break it down. 👇
Table of Contents
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Bitcoin’s Time To Shine
Bitcoin is positioned well to continue its upside trajectory after lagging behind TradFi for much of the past year. This has helped provide some much-needed momentum to the market.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin is showing signs that the trend is changing as price action begins to demonstrate strength.
As Bitcoin begins to coil upwards, the area where Bitcoin is likely to be drawn is $96,000, the level where the start-of-year rally topped.
However, it must hold the newly-formed S/R at $74,000 under all circumstances.
Bitcoin also must avoid repeating the same pattern on that January rally, where it came into a very similar place of supply and liquidity that it is currently doing.
Bullish Break
Bitcoin has had a very significant bullish break of a long-standing trendline which suppressed bitcoin from its all-time high.
As seen on the chart, Bitcoin was initially rejected from it again this month, before pushing above and retesting for support last week.
This is a massive marker as it is another piece of crucial resistance that Bitcoin has broken, adding to the bullish scenario.
BTC/XAU
Bitcoin’s performance against Gold since August 2025 has been nothing short of horrendous.
Still, Gold’s value came into a high time frame S/R, which was the key marker for the origin of the last run from this region.
Bitcoin has already started gaining strength over Gold in recent weeks. However, what we want to see is something much bigger over the next few months, potentially into the end of the year.
If it plays out like last time, Bitcoin could outperform Gold on a massive scale and take the attention back.
9-Month Wait
It is quite remarkable how long we have had to wait for a period of strong bullish price action in Bitcoin.
You have to go back to July 2025, nine months ago, for the last time Bitcoin showed us a strong, aggressive, exciting upside movement that lasted several weeks.
Despite making an all-time high in October, this was just a one-week candle and nothing lasting.
Therefore, it is reasonable to suggest that Bitcoin is long overdue for a sustained upside run, a multi-month uptrend and something to breathe life into the market again.
The ideal scenario is a similar pattern to the rally after the tariff crash, which lasted seven weeks and saw Bitcoin surge.
Layer Zero
Last week saw the hack of KelpDAO, along with $300m of Ethereum. KelpDAO have laid the blame solely on LayerZero rather than their own security posture. Either way, we saw a strong and violent move down on ZRO, tapping into a large pocket of liquidity below $1.5. It is currently holding onto a long-term key level of S/R.
Should this S/R level at 1.618 hold, we could see a move to sweep the liquidity on the topside. Should we see this level be lost, we could see a dip back below $1.5 and collect liquidity before a potential push to the upside.
This is one to keep an eye on as it could present some great opportunities on either side. You can trade ZRO on Blofin here
Fear And Greed Index
The Fear and Greed Index has finally escaped Extreme Fear, seeing it move up to Fear, scoring 32.
This is a solid start to positive sentiment beginning to creep back into the market.
If Bitcoin continues upwards, we could see a return of positive sentiment for the first time in months.
Important Dates
Thursday 23 April, 13:45 UTC - S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
S&P Global releases the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data, which measures the manufacturing industry. The data is a crucial measurement of the US economy, as it is a significant portion of the revenue for large businesses.
The data is forecasted at 52.5, an increase from the previous data.
Thursday 23 April, 13:45 UTC- S&P Global Services PMI
S&P Global also releases a second piece of data, the services PMI data, which measures the service industry. The data is another factor alluding to the economy’s strength, as it makes up much of the GDP alongside manufacturing.
The data is forecasted at 50, an increase from the previous data.
Gainers
Losers
RaveDAO Controversy Explained: How $RAVE Rose 11,000% Then Crashed 95%
An in-depth breakdown of the RaveDAO controversy, from the $RAVE token’s 11,000% surge to its brutal collapse, insider wallet allegations, exchange investigations and lessons for crypto investors.
Few crypto stories capture the extremes of the market quite like RaveDAO.
In just eleven days, the project’s native token $RAVE exploded from roughly $0.25 to $28, a gain of more than 11,000%. At its peak, the token briefly commanded a valuation near $6bn, placing it among the top cryptocurrencies by market capitalisation.
Then it collapsed.
Within less than twenty-four hours, $RAVE plunged from $28 to nearly $1, erasing billions of dollars in paper value and triggering one of the most controversial debates in recent crypto history.
What followed were allegations of insider-controlled supply, coordinated exchange flows, engineered short squeeze mechanics and a pump-and-dump structure hidden behind a legitimate business narrative.
This article breaks down the full RaveDAO controversy, what allegedly happened, why it matters, and the warning signs every crypto investor should understand.
What Is RaveDAO?
Unlike many meme tokens or vaporware projects, RaveDAO was not a fake product.
The project reportedly began in November 2023 as a small afterparty during a crypto conference in Istanbul. By 2025, it had expanded into a global events brand hosting nightlife and entertainment experiences in multiple countries, including:
Singapore
Dubai
Amsterdam
South Korea
Thailand
Belgium
According to claims made by the project, some events attracted thousands of attendees, featured real artists, and generated around $3m in 2025 revenue.
There was also a philanthropic angle, with the team stating that 20% of event proceeds would go toward community-voted charitable causes. According to reports, more than 400 eye surgeries in Nepal were funded.
That legitimate front is central to understanding the controversy: the product may have been real, but critics argue the token market structure was not.
The $RAVE Token Structure
$RAVE launched as an ERC-20 token on Ethereum with:
Total supply: 1,000,000,000 tokens
Circulating at launch: approximately 250,000,000 (25%)
Smart contract audit: October 2025, reportedly no critical issues
On paper, those numbers did not immediately appear unusual.
However, blockchain investigators later alleged that approximately 90% of the supply was controlled by insiders, with some reports suggesting as few as nine wallets controlled around 95% of all tokens.
This is the number that changed everything.
When insiders control the overwhelming majority of a token supply, market capitalisation can become misleading. A high price multiplied by total supply may suggest billions in value, but if most tokens are locked inside connected wallets, the real tradable market can be extremely thin.
The 11,000% Pump: What Happened?
From April 8 to April 18, $RAVE delivered one of the most dramatic rallies of the year.
Key Timeline
April 8: $RAVE trades near $0.26
April 8: Team launches RaveScan 2.0 and Base integration
Claimed: $4.2m in ticket sales within 24 hours
April 15: Price reaches around $16
April 17–18: Token peaks near $28
At the top, $RAVE’s fully diluted valuation approached $6.4bn.
One of the most striking technical readings came from the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which reportedly hit 99.55.
For context:
Above 70 = overbought
Above 80 = extreme momentum
99.55 = exceptionally rare
Critics argued this was not normal price discovery, but a squeeze event.
The Alleged Five-Step Manipulation Playbook
According to on-chain investigators including ZachXBT, the move may have followed a deliberate structure.
1. Concentrated Supply
Three team-linked multisig wallets allegedly controlled around 90% of the total supply.
That meant only a relatively small amount of genuine circulating supply was available on exchanges.
2. Quiet Exchange Seeding
Investigators alleged that millions of $RAVE tokens were sent to exchanges such as Bitget while the token was still trading below $0.50.
Later, around April 14, additional insider-linked transfers worth roughly $42m were reportedly moved to Bitget.
No public announcement accompanied the transfers.
3. Crowded Short Positioning
At one point, reports suggested around 74% of Binance traders were short $RAVE.
That meant many traders were betting on a correction.
4. Liquidity Removal
Approximately 30m RAVE was reportedly withdrawn from exchange liquidity during the rally.
If accurate, this would reduce available sell-side depth and make the market easier to move upward.
5. Trigger the Short Squeeze
Once aggressive buying hits thin order books:
Price rises rapidly
Shorts get liquidated
Forced buying accelerates momentum
Retail traders FOMO in
Large holders can distribute at elevated prices
This alleged sequence is why many analysts described the event as an engineered short squeeze.
ZachXBT’s Investigation
The story escalated dramatically when crypto investigator ZachXBT published wallet analysis connecting insider wallets, exchange transfers and token concentration.
His allegations included:
90%+ of supply in insider-linked wallets
Undisclosed transfers to exchanges before the rally
Token withdrawals during the squeeze
Possible coordinated market behavior across exchanges
He reportedly named:
Binance
Bitget
A $25,000 whistleblower bounty was also reportedly offered.
Shortly after the analysis went viral, the token began collapsing.
The Crash: $28 to $1
The decline was as dramatic as the rise.
Timeline
April 18: ZachXBT publishes findings
Bitget CEO Gracy Chen: confirms internal review
Binance’s Richard Teng: says matter is being examined
Gate.io representatives: state they are reviewing the situation
RaveDAO: denies responsibility for price action
April 19: Price falls 68% in one day
Total drawdown: approximately 95%
Roughly $5.8bn in market value disappeared.
Critics argued the crash happened faster and on lower real volume than the pump, suggesting there was never deep organic liquidity supporting the valuation.
RaveDAO’s Response
The project denied responsibility for the token’s price action.
However, critics noted that public responses allegedly did not directly address the specific on-chain claims involving:
Wallet ownership
Exchange transfers
Supply concentration
Liquidity withdrawals
That omission further damaged confidence.
Red Flags Investors Should Learn From
1. Supply Concentration
If a handful of wallets control most of the supply, price can be heavily manipulated.
2. Low Float, Huge FDV
A high fully diluted valuation means little if most tokens are not truly circulating.
3. Undisclosed Exchange Transfers
Large team-linked transfers to exchanges before rallies deserve scrutiny.
4. Extreme Short Imbalance
Crowded shorts can create squeeze opportunities.
5. RSI Going Vertical
Readings near 100 often indicate unsustainable moves.
6. Vague Denials
If a project avoids specific wallet or transaction questions, investors should be cautious.
Traditional Markets vs Crypto
Many analysts say the controversy highlights how crypto still lacks safeguards common in traditional finance.
Traditional Markets | Some Crypto Markets |
|---|---|
Insider trading laws | Often unclear or unenforced |
Disclosure obligations | Limited token disclosure standards |
Exchange surveillance | Varies widely by venue |
Block sale monitoring | On-chain but not always acted upon |
Clear regulators | Jurisdictional gray zones |
The Bigger Picture
The RaveDAO controversy may become a case study in crypto market structure.
Because this story was not simply about a meme coin with no utility.
It involved:
A real business narrative
Real events revenue
A real community
And alleged token mechanics that may have been exploited
That combination can be more dangerous than obvious scams, because it appears credible enough to attract serious buyers.
Final Thoughts
Whether future investigations confirm all allegations or not, the RaveDAO saga offers a powerful lesson.
Price charts alone are not enough.
Before buying any token, investors should examine:
Wallet concentration
Circulating supply
Exchange flows
Liquidity depth
Narrative catalysts
Who benefits from the move
$RAVE’s climb looked like discovery.
Its collapse looked like structure.
And in crypto, understanding the difference can save fortunes.
Kelp DAO Hacker Moves $175m in ETH as Laundering Fears Rise Across DeFi
The attacker behind the $290m Kelp DAO exploit has moved 75,700 ETH across new wallets, raising laundering fears as fallout spreads to Aave and Arbitrum.
The attacker behind the roughly $290m Kelp DAO exploit has begun moving tens of thousands of Ether to newly created blockchain addresses, in what appears to be the next phase of efforts to launder the stolen funds.
According to on-chain data, the wallet tagged as linked to the exploit moved around 75,700 ETH, worth roughly $175m, across three transactions on Tuesday. The transfers included 25,000 ETH to one newly created address and 50,700 ETH plus 0.7 ETH to another.
The latest movements come days after an attacker drained around 116,500 restaked Ether (rsETH), worth between $290m and $293m at the time, from Kelp DAO’s LayerZero-powered rsETH bridge.
Funds begin moving through THORChain and Umbra
Blockchain investigator ZachXBT said in a Tuesday Telegram post that wallets tied to the exploit had already started routing funds through THORChain and Umbra. He flagged three THORChain transactions totalling roughly $1.5m, along with a separate transfer of around $78,000 through Umbra.
The use of non-custodial protocols could make recovery more difficult. THORChain, in particular, allows users to move value across chains without traditional Know Your Customer checks, making it a recurring tool in large-scale crypto laundering cases.
LayerZero points to bridge verification setup
In the aftermath of the exploit, LayerZero said Kelp DAO’s 1/1 decentralised verifier network (DVN) setup introduced a single point of failure by relying on a single verifier path for cross-chain messages. The interoperability provider said it had previously advised against that configuration.
LayerZero’s documentation describes DVNs as a core part of its cross-chain security model, with apps expected to configure verifier sets carefully to avoid exactly this type of risk.
Arbitrum freezes more than 30,000 ETH
The transfers came only hours after Arbitrum said its 12-member security council had taken emergency action to freeze 30,766 ETH tied to the exploit and move the funds into an intermediary frozen wallet that can only be accessed through Arbitrum governance.
The move marked one of the most significant intervention attempts so far following the hack and showed how governance-linked security mechanisms can still be used to slow attackers, even in decentralised systems.
Fallout spreads to Aave
The exploit has also spilt into the wider DeFi sector. The attacker reportedly used some of the stolen assets as collateral on Aave to borrow against the protocol, creating fresh concerns over bad debt and platform stability.
Early estimates suggested the damage to Aave could total around $195m. However, Aave’s Monday incident report outlined two possible outcomes: around $123.7m in bad debt under one scenario and roughly $230.1m under another.
The incident also triggered broader market stress. Aave said on Tuesday that it had unfrozen Wrapped Ether (WETH) reserves on the Ethereum Core V3 market, allowing users to once again supply WETH there. Even so, WETH reserves across Ethereum Prime, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle and Linea remain frozen.
Borrow rates jump as liquidity thins
As liquidity tightened, borrowing conditions on Aave worsened sharply. Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, said Aave’s borrowing rates for USDt climbed from 3% to 14%, marking the highest level since December 2024.
Fears of wider contagion also prompted large outflows from the lending protocol. Aave’s total value locked fell by around $10bn following the exploit, dropping to roughly $16.4bn as of Tuesday, according to DefiLlama data.
Echoes of the Bybit hack
The emerging laundering pattern has drawn comparisons with the 2025 Bybit hack, when attackers converted a large share of stolen Ether into Bitcoin using THORChain.
At the time, Bybit CEO Ben Zhou said around 83% of the stolen ETH had been converted into Bitcoin, with 72% of the funds passing through THORChain. He added that 77% of those funds were still considered traceable.
Why the story matters
The Kelp DAO exploit is no longer just a bridge incident. It is rapidly becoming a broader DeFi stress event involving cross-chain infrastructure, governance intervention, collateral contagion and non-custodial laundering routes.
With attackers now actively moving stolen ETH into fresh wallets and routing some funds through privacy-enhancing or chain-hopping protocols, the window for tracing and recovery could narrow quickly. At the same time, the incident is renewing scrutiny on bridge security design, verifier configurations and the systemic risks created when stolen collateral spreads through DeFi lending markets.
The Dollar’s Secret Army: How Private Stablecoins Became the Most Powerful Financial Weapon in the World
Stablecoins have grown into a $317.6bn market that is reshaping dollar power, triggering global regulation and challenging the monetary sovereignty of entire nations.
Stablecoins were supposed to be boring.
They were meant to be the plumbing of crypto: a place to park value between trades, a dollar proxy for users who didn’t want volatility, a convenience product sitting quietly in the background while Bitcoin and Ethereum took the headlines. Instead, they have become something much larger and far more consequential, a private, fast-growing dollar system operating across borders, outside banking hours, and increasingly outside the direct control of the states now scrambling to regulate it.
The numbers alone are enough to justify the shift in attention. The stablecoin market now stands at roughly $317.6bn, according to DeFiLlama. That market barely existed in meaningful form five years ago. It crossed $200bn for the first time in December 2024, grew more than 59% in 2024 alone, and is now large enough that governments, central banks and international institutions are no longer treating it as a crypto side story. They are treating it as a monetary issue.
That is what stablecoins have become: not just a crypto product, but a sovereignty problem.
The market grew fast. The power grew faster.
The stablecoin economy is now effectively a duopoly. Tether’s USDT remains the giant, with a market cap of roughly $186.6bn at the end of 2025 and close to 58% of the overall market. Circle’s USDC is smaller at around $75.1bn, but it has been growing faster for two straight years, rising 77% in 2024 and another 73% in 2025. Together, those two tokens account for roughly 90% of the entire stablecoin market.
That concentration matters because these are not neutral instruments. Almost all major stablecoins are pegged to the US dollar. Reuters has estimated that 99% of stablecoins are dollar-linked, even though much of their real-world usage happens outside the United States. In practice, that means a huge share of crypto’s transactional infrastructure is not building an alternative to the dollar. It is extending the dollar into places where the banking system, capital controls or local monetary policy would otherwise limit it.
The dollar didn’t lose crypto. It quietly took it over.
Washington and Brussels are now fighting different wars
The scale of stablecoins is only half the story. The other half is the regulatory split that emerged in 2025.
In the United States, President Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law on July 18, 2025, creating the first comprehensive federal framework for stablecoins in US history. The legislation requires 1:1 reserve backing with liquid assets such as cash or short-dated Treasuries, monthly reserve disclosures and audits for issuers with more than $50bn in assets. It also forces state-level issuers into federal oversight once they pass the $10bn mark.
On paper, that looks like a straightforward regulation package. In practice, it is much more consequential. By requiring reserves to be held in instruments such as Treasury bills, the law effectively turns stablecoin growth into fresh structural demand for US government debt. Brookings, Wharton and other policy institutions have highlighted that this is not just crypto regulation, it is industrial policy for the dollar.
The European Union chose a different approach. Under MiCA, which came fully into effect on December 30, 2024, stablecoin issuers must be licensed electronic money institutions if they want full access to the EU market. Tether is not. The result was extraordinary: the largest stablecoin in the world was effectively pushed off regulated European exchanges. Kraken, Coinbase and Crypto.com all moved to delist USDT in Europe, despite earlier hesitation from some platforms.
Same market, two systems, two very different answers to the same question: who gets to issue the digital dollar?
The Tether question is still unresolved
No company sits more awkwardly at the centre of this story than Tether. It is the largest stablecoin issuer in the world, one of the biggest private holders of Treasury exposure anywhere, and arguably the single most important bridge between crypto and dollar liquidity. It is also offshore, domiciled in El Salvador, and has still never produced the kind of full audit critics have been demanding for years.
Tether says its reserves include more than $122bn in Treasury bills and another $19.3bn in overnight reverse repos, giving it over $141bn in direct and indirect Treasury exposure. But that figure comes from an attestation by BDO Italia, not a full independent audit. An attestation tells you what the books looked like at a specific point in time. It does not provide full continuous visibility into the balance sheet, and it does not answer the deeper governance questions that critics continue to ask.
This is the central contradiction in the entire stablecoin story. The instrument, becoming one of the most important vehicles for digital dollar dominance, is controlled by a private offshore company that still sits partially outside the cleanest regulatory frameworks being written around it.
The world’s most effective dollar expansion machine is not the Federal Reserve. It is Tether.
The freeze machine changes the story again
Tether is also no longer just an issuer. It is an enforcement mechanism.
By early 2026, Tether had frozen a cumulative $4.2bn in USDT linked to illicit activity, according to company disclosures cited by Reuters and other outlets. More than $3.5bn of that had been frozen since 2023 alone. It has worked with the US Department of Justice to freeze funds tied to pig-butchering scams, and with Turkish authorities to freeze more than $544m in an online gambling and money laundering investigation. Across Ethereum and TRON, more than 7,200 wallets were affected between 2023 and 2025.
Circle freezes funds, too, but at a much smaller scale. AMLBot and CryptoRank data suggest USDT freezes during the 2023–2025 period exceeded USDC freezes by around 30x.
This raises an uncomfortable question for the crypto industry. Stablecoins were often framed as permissionless digital cash. In practice, the biggest issuers can freeze billions with a click, in coordination with governments. That makes them incredibly useful for compliance and law enforcement. It also makes them much more centralised than many users are willing to admit.
The same product used to escape a broken banking system can also become a private sanctions rail.
For emerging markets, stablecoins are both a lifeline and a threat
This is where the real geopolitical story begins.
In emerging markets, stablecoins are not primarily speculative tools. They are used as savings technology, remittance infrastructure and an escape valve from local currency collapse. Research from Cornell and others has shown that in countries with weak banking systems or high inflation, stablecoins have become a practical financial alternative for ordinary users. Chainalysis data has repeatedly ranked countries such as India, Nigeria and Indonesia among the biggest stablecoin users in the world.
That usage is rational at the individual level. If your local currency is weakening faster than you can spend it, a dollar-backed token is not a political statement. It is self-defence.
But what protects the individual can weaken the state.
The IMF warned in December 2025 that stablecoins pose clear risks to monetary sovereignty in emerging markets. The two biggest are currency substitution and capital flight. Citizens move their savings into digital dollars. Governments lose control over local monetary transmission. Capital controls become easier to circumvent. The domestic banking system becomes less central. Monetary policy becomes weaker.
Amundi, State Street and other large institutions have echoed the same concern: dollar stablecoins risk accelerating digital dollarisation, especially in countries already struggling to defend their currencies.
For users, stablecoins can feel like freedom. For states, they can look like erosion.
The US may have found a new form of dollar hegemony
The old phrase for America’s global monetary advantage is “exorbitant privilege”, the structural power that comes from issuing the reserve currency everyone else needs. Stablecoins may become a digital version of that privilege.
Because these tokens are overwhelmingly dollar-denominated, every major wave of stablecoin growth increases global dollar dependence. And because compliant reserves are increasingly held in Treasuries, the system strengthens demand for US debt while extending dollar usage into regions and markets that traditional finance does not always reach efficiently.
This is the part many crypto narratives still miss. Stablecoins are not undermining US monetary power. In many ways, they are reinforcing it. They are exporting digital dollar infrastructure across the world without the US government having to build it directly.
Washington did not invent this system. But it has now decided it wants to keep it.
The wild cards are still dangerous
None of this means stablecoins are safe.
In October 2025, Paxos accidentally minted $300tn worth of PYUSD in what was described as a technical error, more than double global GDP. The mistake was corrected within minutes, but it briefly knocked the token off its peg and forced at least one lending platform to freeze activity. Paxos had separately settled a $48.5m AML case tied to its Binance partnership just months earlier.
The error did not break the system. But it exposed how fragile confidence can still be, even in the “safe” corner of crypto.
That is the wider risk here. Stablecoins are now systemically important enough to matter politically, but still fragile enough to produce occasional moments of absurd instability.
The verdict
The stablecoin sovereignty war is already underway. The US is trying to domesticate the sector and turn it into a compliant extension of digital dollar power. Europe has chosen to exclude the biggest offshore player rather than accommodate it. The IMF is warning that entire countries could lose monetary control as stablecoin usage expands. And at the centre of it all sits Tether: huge, profitable, deeply integrated into global crypto markets and still only partially inside the rules.
Stablecoins are now doing four things at once. They are helping ordinary people in weak-currency economies preserve value. They are extending the US dollar influence. They are creating new demand for Treasuries. And they are concentrating enormous monetary power in a handful of private issuers.
The dollar already won the stablecoin war. The question now is who ends up controlling the battlefield.
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